Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093022800 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,579 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39093022800 covers part of the Evergreen Village area of Lorain, OH, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4481, -82.1934 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evergreen Village scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Evergreen Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 932Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.5%Peak (2015)
- 105Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.5%Housing insecurity
- 23.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.9%Food insecurity
- 42.0%SNAP enrollment
- 20.6%Transit barriers
- 20.6%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 45.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village
Average gross rent is $335, 62% below the Lorain average. Food insecurity runs 41.9% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Adults with no health insurance runs 20.6% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 932 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 13.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 39093022800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022800?
What is the average rent in tract 39093022800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022800?
Is tract 39093022800 considered part of Evergreen Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022800?
What share of households in tract 39093022800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39093022800 compare to Lorain overall?
Was tract 39093022800 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.