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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093022800 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,579 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 39093022800 covers part of the Evergreen Village area of Lorain, OH, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 34% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate47.6%
Median income$34,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Evergreen Village
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4481, -82.1934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen Village scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
47.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$335 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How Evergreen Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Evergreen Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0228004.5Lorainparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 932Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2015)
  • 105Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093022800
Filings climbed 30% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evergreen Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Village

Average gross rent is $335, 62% below the Lorain average. Food insecurity runs 41.9% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.6% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 932 filings here across 11 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 13.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093022800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022800?

Census tract 39093022800 in the Evergreen Village neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093022800?

Median gross rent is $335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022800?

47.6% of residents in tract 39093022800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,579.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 98th, minority 85th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 39093022800 considered part of Evergreen Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093022800 fall within Evergreen Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 932 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093022800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.76% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093022800 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093022800 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093022800 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093022800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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