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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

South Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39093023100 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,002 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39093023100 in the South Lorain area of Lorain, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,002. SNAP participation runs 41.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 25% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share56.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$34,509

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In South Lorain
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Moderate
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4481, -82.1344 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lorain scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$799 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How South Lorain compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lorain risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0231004.5Lorainparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 727Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2014)
  • 69Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093023100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lorain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lorain

Cost burden runs 56% here against 40.1% across Lorain County. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 727 filings here across 11 tracked years. Average gross rent is $799, 10% below the Lorain average. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.9% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lorain. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093023100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023100?

Census tract 39093023100 in the South Lorain neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093023100?

Median gross rent is $799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023100?

38.0% of residents in tract 39093023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,002.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 84th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 39093023100 considered part of South Lorain?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093023100 fall within South Lorain (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 727 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.29% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093023100 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093023100 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093023100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093023100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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