Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Eastern Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria
Tract 39093070700 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,249 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39093070700 in the Eastern Heights area of Elyria, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,249 residents. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units882
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$50,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.3747, -82.0821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastern Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Eastern Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 206Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2003)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastern Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastern Heights
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Cost burden runs 47% here against 40.1% across Lorain County. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 206 filings here across 11 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 8.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093070700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070700?
Census tract 39093070700 in the Eastern Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093070700?
Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070700?
25.0% of residents in tract 39093070700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,249.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 22th, minority 48th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 39093070700 considered part of Eastern Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070700 fall within Eastern Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 206 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.36% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093070700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093070700 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093070700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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