Washington Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Lorain County average of 40.1%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Lorain County average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 393 filings here across 11 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $835, close to the Elyria average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.