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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Elyria Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39093070901 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,198 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 39093070901, in the Downtown Elyria area of Elyria eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,198. On the national scale it ranks #11,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $809 a month against an average household income of $23,967 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. Renters make up 87% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 41% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units753
Renter share87.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate52.2%
Median income$23,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown Elyria
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 18 tracts In Elyria
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#294 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3593, -82.1285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Elyria scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
52.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Downtown Elyria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Elyria risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 070901Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 247Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2018)
  • 46Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930709012002: 25 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (9.18/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (4.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (1.66/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 39 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2018: 46 filings (8.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 84% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Elyria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Elyria

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 247 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.4% of renter households in 2018.

In CDC survey modeling, about 41.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 37.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070901?

Census tract 39093070901 in the Downtown Elyria neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070901?

Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070901?

52.2% of residents in tract 39093070901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 80th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070901 considered part of Downtown Elyria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070901 fall within Downtown Elyria (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 247 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.16% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070901 struggle to pay rent?

About 41.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070901 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070901 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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