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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Pikewood Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria

Tract 39093070400 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,779 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Pikewood Manor area of Elyria is where census tract 39093070400 sits, home to 4,779 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #36,941 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,022 a month against an average household income of $52,261 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 26% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,967
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$52,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Pikewood Manor
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#6 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#839 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3842, -82.1386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pikewood Manor scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,022 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Pikewood Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pikewood Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 070400Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 635Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.3%Peak (2006)
  • 61Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930704002002: 41 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 54 filings (10.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 53 filings (10.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (7.36/100 renter HHs)2006: 85 filings (15.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 73 filings (9.03/100 renter HHs)2013: 61 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2014: 55 filings (6.81/100 renter HHs)2015: 50 filings (6.19/100 renter HHs)2016: 61 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)2018: 61 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pikewood Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pikewood Manor

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 635 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.3% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070400?

Census tract 39093070400 in the Pikewood Manor neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070400?

Median gross rent is $1,022/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070400?

19.6% of residents in tract 39093070400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,779.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 50th, minority 63th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070400 considered part of Pikewood Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070400 fall within Pikewood Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 635 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.81% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070400 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070400 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070400 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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