Eviction Risk in Colonial Oaks , Elyria
Tract 39093071300 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,550 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 39093071300 sits in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood of Elyria, Ohio. It has a population of 4,550 and an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 18% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $762/month against a median household income of $75,772 — roughly 12% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 4,779 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 9.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 78.8%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 0.6%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 7.9%
- Other / Multiracial 3.3%
How the 5.7/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 7.6 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 4.9 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 5.4 | Elyria (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.4 | Elyria (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 2.4 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 8.1 | Elyria (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.4 | Elyria (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 5.4 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 758Total filings over 11 yrs
- 25.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.3%Peak (2018)
- 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonial Oaks. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
About tract 39093071300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093071300?
Census tract 39093071300 in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 39093071300?
Median gross rent is $762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093071300?
21.7% of residents in tract 39093071300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,550.
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093071300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 88th, minority 30th, housing 38th.
Is tract 39093071300 considered part of Colonial Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093071300 fall within Colonial Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093071300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 758 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093071300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.79% of renter households, peaking at 24.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 39093071300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.