Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Washington Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria
Tract 39093070902 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,636 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39093070902 covers part of the Washington Village area of Elyria, OH, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,636 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,832
Renter share51.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$48,261
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.3640, -82.1592 · click any tract to drill in
Why Washington Village scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$869 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Washington Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 827Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.1%Peak (2006)
- 44Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Washington Village
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Lorain County average of 4.1. Court records carry 827 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 21.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093070902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070902?
Census tract 39093070902 in the Washington Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093070902?
Median gross rent is $869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070902?
15.0% of residents in tract 39093070902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 85th, minority 61th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 39093070902 considered part of Washington Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070902 fall within Washington Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 827 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.23% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093070902 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093070902 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093070902 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related