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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Roosevelt Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095002600 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,071 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39095002600 in the Roosevelt area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 15% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units406
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate58.2%
Median income$18,144

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Roosevelt
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 121 tracts In Toledo
High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6571, -83.5633 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roosevelt scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
58.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,041 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Roosevelt compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roosevelt risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 002600Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 434Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 16.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.5%Peak (2006)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950026002003: 35 filings (9.97/100 renter HHs)2004: 33 filings (9.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 41 filings (26.45/100 renter HHs)2007: 31 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (12.26/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (16.77/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 27 filings (17.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (20.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 25 filings (16.56/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (15.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (26.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (19.11/100 renter HHs)2018: 25 filings (15.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Roosevelt. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roosevelt

Against Lucas County at 41.3%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 69% of average household income of $18,144, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 58%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 38.1% against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.2% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

At $1,041 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Toledo commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 434 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 26.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 16.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002600?

Census tract 39095002600 in the Roosevelt neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095002600?

Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002600?

58.2% of residents in tract 39095002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 95th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 39095002600 considered part of Roosevelt?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095002600 fall within Roosevelt (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 434 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.91% of renter households, peaking at 26.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095002600 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095002600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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