Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Scott Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095003100 · Lucas County, OH · pop 942 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39095003100 covers part of the Scott Park area of Toledo, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 13% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Lucas County average of 41.3%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units449
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate34.4%
Median income$50,461
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6416, -83.5974 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scott Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
34.4% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Scott Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 31%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 358Total filings over 15 yrs
- 15.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.5%Peak (2006)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Scott Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.7%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.0%Food insecurity
- 34.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.9%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scott Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 34.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.6/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2.
Average gross rent is $1,052, 17% above the Toledo average. The filing record is not thin: 358 evictions over 15 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 36.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 15.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095003100?
Census tract 39095003100 in the Scott Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095003100?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095003100?
34.4% of residents in tract 39095003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 942.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 77th, minority 88th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 39095003100 considered part of Scott Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095003100 fall within Scott Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095003100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 358 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.47% of renter households, peaking at 36.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095003100 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095003100 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095003100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095003100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Birmingham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Old Orchard
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Scott Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Inverness Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
United
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Vistula Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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