Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001802 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,386 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 39113001802 covers part of the Kossuth Colony Historic District area of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,386 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 29% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,467

Renter share61.0%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate32.7%

Median income$36,819

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7838, -84.1695 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

32.7% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$928 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
17%Grade C
24%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
32.4%Food insecurity
33.8%SNAP enrollment
16.9%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
42.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 53% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 32.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 22.8% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $928, close to the Dayton average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001802?

Census tract 39113001802 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113001802?

Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001802?

32.7% of residents in tract 39113001802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,386.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 80th, minority 32th, housing 74th.

Is tract 39113001802 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001802 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39113001802 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113001802 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001802 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113001802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.