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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001801 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,178 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 39113001801 sits in the Kossuth Colony Historic District area of Dayton eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,178 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 31% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units930
Renter share73.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate53.9%
Median income$24,955

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Kossuth Colony Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7897, -84.1561 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
53.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$726 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kossuth Colony Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0018014.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $24,955 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Housing insecurity runs 28.4% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $726, 21% below the Dayton average.

Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001801?

Census tract 39113001801 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001801?

Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001801?

53.9% of residents in tract 39113001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,178.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 59th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001801 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001801 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113001801 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113001801 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113001801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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