Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001801 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,178 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 39113001801 sits in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood of Dayton eviction risk, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $726 monthly, set against $24,955 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 31% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units930

Renter share73.7%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate53.9%

Median income$24,955

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7897, -84.1561 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

53.9% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$726 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
12%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.4%Housing insecurity
24.7%Utility-shutoff threat
40.5%Food insecurity
45.0%SNAP enrollment
21.4%Transit barriers
15.8%No health insurance
25.4%Frequent mental distress
46.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 12% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001801?

Census tract 39113001801 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113001801?

Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001801?

53.9% of residents in tract 39113001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,178.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 59th, housing 46th.

Is tract 39113001801 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001801 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39113001801 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113001801 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001801 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113001801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.