Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 1,490 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.