Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113002800 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,929 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Dayton
Tract 39113002800 sits in Dayton eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 1,929 residents. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units997
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$52,117
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7332, -84.1193 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 285Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2008)
- 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 175% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,260 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Dayton commands.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
The voucher gap is 17.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 285 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2008 at 12.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002800?
Census tract 39113002800 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113002800?
Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002800?
27.4% of residents in tract 39113002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 23th, minority 3th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.52% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113002800 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113002800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000500
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Twin Towers
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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