Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113002800 ·
Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,929 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Dayton
For landlords sizing up Dayton, census tract 39113002800 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,260 monthly, set against $52,117 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 5%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units997
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$52,117
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
36th percentile
#33 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
78th percentile
#35 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
82th percentile
#576 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
74th percentile
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7332, -84.1193 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
60%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
3%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.2%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002800?
Census tract 39113002800 in Dayton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113002800?
Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002800?
27.4% of residents in tract 39113002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 23th, minority 3th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.52% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113002800 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113002800 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.