Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113004400 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,435
Census tract 39113004400 covers part of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,435. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units797
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$31,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7524, -84.2611 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$841 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 57%Grade C
- 34%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 513Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2018)
- 46Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.9%Food insecurity
- 32.7%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 40.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
SNAP participation runs 32.7% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Housing insecurity runs 25.8% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 513 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 10.6% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $841, 8% below the Dayton average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113004400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113004400?
Census tract 39113004400 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113004400?
Median gross rent is $841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113004400?
29.0% of residents in tract 39113004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,435.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113004400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 65th, minority 97th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113004400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 513 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113004400 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113004400 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113004400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113004400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 34% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113004200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004600
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113002800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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