South Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
2 census tracts · pop 9,495 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.3–5.4
South Park Historic District spans 2 census tracts of Dayton, OH and houses 9,495 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Dayton baseline of 31.7%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.2/10.
On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,150, 25% above the Dayton average of $918. Court records carry 1,088 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 5.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.0% in 2018 against a 5.5% peak. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Dayton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Twin Towers and West Third Street Historic District. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $44,743.
61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Park Historic District vs DaytonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Park Historic District
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,088Total filings (sum)
3.59%Avg annual filing rate
5.5%Peak year (2006)
3.98%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Park Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.9%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility shutoff threat
20.1%Food insecurity
16.5%SNAP enrollment
8.5%No health insurance
32.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Park Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Park Historic District?
South Park Historic District scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Park Historic District compare to Dayton overall?
South Park Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than Dayton overall (4/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,150 vs $918.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Park Historic District?
Average gross rent in South Park Historic District is $1,150/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Park Historic District residents are renters?
61% of South Park Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Dayton). The neighborhood has 9,495 residents.
Q5
Is South Park Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
South Park Historic District sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Park Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Park Historic District is census tract 39113003402 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.4, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7
How safe is South Park Historic District for landlords?
South Park Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dayton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Park Historic District?
South Park Historic District has 9,226 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near South Park Historic District
