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Neighborhood · Dayton, OH

South Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,495 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5–5.9

South Park Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dayton with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,495 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,150/month sits 25% higher than the Dayton citywide average ($918).

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Park Historic District vs Dayton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.2% +93%
Dayton: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$1,150 +25%
Dayton: $918
Average HH income
$44,743 +3%
Dayton: $43,454
Poverty rate
40.8% +51%
Dayton: 27.1%
Renter share
61.4% +19%
Dayton: 51.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Park Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–5.9

Why South Park Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
40.8% below poverty line · Range 6.5–10.0 across tracts
9.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–6.2 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

South Park Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Park Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Park Histori: 5.75.7South Park HistoriNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Park Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39113003402 5.9 7,277 71% $1,209
39113003404 5 2,218 30% $957
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Park Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,088Total filings (sum)
  • 3.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak year (2006)
  • 3.98%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Park Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Park Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Park Historic District?

South Park Historic District scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Park Historic District compare to Dayton overall?

South Park Historic District scores 2.3 points higher than Dayton overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,150 vs $918.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Park Historic District?

Average gross rent in South Park Historic District is $1,150/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Park Historic District residents are renters?

61% of South Park Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Dayton). The neighborhood has 9,495 residents.
Q5

Is South Park Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

South Park Historic District sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Park Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Park Historic District is census tract 39113003402 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is South Park Historic District for landlords?

South Park Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dayton as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Park Historic District?

South Park Historic District has 9,226 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Park Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dayton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Park Historic District.

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