4 census tracts · pop 8,487 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Dunbar Historic District takes in 4 census tracts of Dayton, OH and houses 8,487 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Dayton rate of 31.7%.
31.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 35.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.7/10.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $710, 23% below the Dayton average of $918.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Court records carry 4,657 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2018 at 24.8% of renter households. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Dayton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 6.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Twin Towers and West Third Street Historic District. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Dunbar Historic District vs DaytonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Dunbar Historic District
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4,657Total filings (sum)
10.30%Avg annual filing rate
24.8%Peak year (2018)
13.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dunbar Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
35.6%Housing insecurity
31.8%Utility shutoff threat
48.4%Food insecurity
53.8%SNAP enrollment
14.6%No health insurance
47.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Dunbar Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Dunbar Historic District?
Dunbar Historic District scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Dunbar Historic District compare to Dayton overall?
Dunbar Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than Dayton overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $710 vs $918.
Q3
What is the average rent in Dunbar Historic District?
Average gross rent in Dunbar Historic District is $710/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Dunbar Historic District residents are renters?
60% of Dunbar Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Dayton). The neighborhood has 8,487 residents.
Q5
Is Dunbar Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Dunbar Historic District sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Dunbar Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dunbar Historic District is census tract 39113165100 (score 5.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Dunbar Historic District for landlords?
Dunbar Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dayton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Dunbar Historic District?
Dunbar Historic District has 8,393 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
