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Neighborhood · Dayton, OH

Dunbar Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 8,487 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.2–5.9

Dunbar Historic District is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dayton with 4 census tracts and a population of 8,487 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $710/month sits 23% lower than the Dayton citywide average ($918).

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Dunbar Historic District vs Dayton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.5% +72%
Dayton: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$710 -23%
Dayton: $918
Average HH income
$27,025 -38%
Dayton: $43,454
Poverty rate
35.4% +31%
Dayton: 27.1%
Renter share
60.1% +16%
Dayton: 51.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunbar Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.2–5.9

Why Dunbar Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
35.4% below poverty line · Range 5.8–10.0 across tracts
8.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.7 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Dunbar Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dunbar Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dunbar Historic Di: 5.75.7Dunbar Historic DiNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dunbar Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 5.2 to 5.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Dunbar Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39113165100 5.9 2,456 58% $422
39113003900 5.8 2,139 42% $908
39113004100 5.8 1,822 48% $606
39113003800 5.2 2,070 70% $940
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dunbar Historic District

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,657Total filings (sum)
  • 10.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.8%Peak year (2018)
  • 13.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dunbar Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dunbar Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dunbar Historic District?

Dunbar Historic District scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dunbar Historic District compare to Dayton overall?

Dunbar Historic District scores 2.3 points higher than Dayton overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $710 vs $918.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dunbar Historic District?

Average gross rent in Dunbar Historic District is $710/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dunbar Historic District residents are renters?

60% of Dunbar Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Dayton). The neighborhood has 8,487 residents.
Q5

Is Dunbar Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Dunbar Historic District sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dunbar Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dunbar Historic District is census tract 39113165100 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.9, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Dunbar Historic District for landlords?

Dunbar Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dayton as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dunbar Historic District?

Dunbar Historic District has 8,393 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dunbar Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dayton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dunbar Historic District.

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