Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113021502 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,481
Tract 39113021502 sits in Kettering eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 2,481. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share41.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$57,342
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6954, -84.1421 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kettering scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$922 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How Kettering compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 19%Grade C
- 47%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 293Total filings over 17 yrs
- 5.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2006)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kettering
Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 293 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
At $922 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Kettering commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when 11.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113021502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021502?
Census tract 39113021502 in Kettering scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113021502?
Median gross rent is $922/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021502?
11.4% of residents in tract 39113021502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,481.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 81th, minority 39th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 293 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.69% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113021502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113021502 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113021502 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113021502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021000
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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