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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113021800 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,236

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113021800 in Kettering, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 50% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$52,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.6625, -84.1315 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0218004.0Ketteringparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 837Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113021800
Filings dropped 73% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 837 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 10.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Average gross rent is $1,004, close to the Kettering average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113021800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021800?

Census tract 39113021800 in Kettering scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113021800?

Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021800?

24.9% of residents in tract 39113021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,236.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 54th, minority 39th, housing 30th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 837 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.27% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113021800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113021800 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113021800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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