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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113021800 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,236

Census tract 39113021800 belongs to Kettering in Montgomery County, Ohio. It is home to 2,236 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,004 a month against an average household income of $52,168 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 50% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$52,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Very High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.6625, -84.1315 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 021800Kettering: 2.42.4Ketteringparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 837Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130218002002: 82 filings (9.96/100 renter HHs)2003: 50 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2004: 58 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 83 filings (10.30/100 renter HHs)2007: 46 filings (5.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 43 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2009: 51 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 82 filings (10.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 50 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2012: 49 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 32 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2014: 62 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 26 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2016: 38 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)2017: 13 filings (1.68/100 renter HHs)2018: 22 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kettering eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113021800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021800?

Census tract 39113021800 in Kettering scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113021800?

Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021800?

24.9% of residents in tract 39113021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,236.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 54th, minority 39th, housing 30th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 837 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.27% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113021800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113021800 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113021800 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Kettering at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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