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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113021501 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,670

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 39113021501 in Kettering, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 14% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,087
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$70,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Very High
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.6975, -84.1325 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,220 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0215014.0Ketteringparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 373Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2003)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113021501
Filings dropped 31% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,220, 16% above the Kettering average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 373 filings here across 17 tracked years. The voucher gap is 13.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 7.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113021501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021501?

Census tract 39113021501 in Kettering scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113021501?

Median gross rent is $1,220/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021501?

18.4% of residents in tract 39113021501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,670.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 53th, minority 32th, housing 48th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 373 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.66% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113021501 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113021501 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113021501 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113021501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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