Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113021100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,561
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 39113021100 in Kettering, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,561. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,676
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$57,941
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.7207, -84.1313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kettering scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$876 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How Kettering compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 475Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kettering
This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Average gross rent is $876, 17% below the Kettering average. Court records carry 475 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021100?
Census tract 39113021100 in Kettering scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113021100?
Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021100?
13.4% of residents in tract 39113021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,561.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 56th, minority 48th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 475 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.56% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113021100 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113021100 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113021100 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113021100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021000
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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