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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Creek Park Extended Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007416 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 1,493 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

40143007416 is a census tract in the Oak Creek Park Extended area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 40.3% across Tulsa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 2% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units533
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$104,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Oak Creek Park Extended
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Moderate
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#159 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0682, -95.7706 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Creek Park Extended scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,672 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Oak Creek Park Extended compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Creek Park Extended risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 007416Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Creek Park Extended. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Creek Park Extended

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,672, 102% above the Broken Arrow average.

The voucher gap is 126.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.7 points below the Tulsa County average of 3.7.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $104,188.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007416

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007416?

Census tract 40143007416 in the Oak Creek Park Extended neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007416?

Median gross rent is $2,672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007416?

7.8% of residents in tract 40143007416 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,493.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007416?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 40th, minority 49th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007416 considered part of Oak Creek Park Extended?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007416 fall within Oak Creek Park Extended (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007416 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007416 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007416 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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