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Astoria, Oregon eviction risk overview
City brief · 10,109 residents

Astoria, OR Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Clatsop County · Population 10,109

In 2026
Risk score
6.7
ELEVATED

75th percentile, Oregon.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.5 Average4.2 Now6.7
7.4 2.5 1976 · score 2.7 1977 · score 2.6 1978 · score 2.6 1979 · score 2.7 1980 · score 2.7 1981 · score 2.8 1982 · score 2.7 1983 · score 2.7 1984 · score 2.7 1985 · score 2.6 1986 · score 2.6 1987 · score 2.5 1988 · score 3.0 1989 · score 3.0 1990 · score 3.1 1991 · score 3.2 1992 · score 3.5 1993 · score 3.5 1994 · score 3.4 1995 · score 3.5 1996 · score 3.5 1997 · score 3.5 1998 · score 3.6 1999 · score 3.6 2000 · score 3.7 2001 · score 3.8 2002 · score 3.9 2003 · score 4.0 2004 · score 4.1 2005 · score 4.1 2006 · score 4.1 2007 · score 4.2 2008 · score 4.8 2009 · score 5.1 2010 · score 5.1 2011 · score 5.2 2012 · score 5.1 2013 · score 5.0 2014 · score 5.3 2015 · score 5.3 2016 · score 5.3 2017 · score 5.3 2018 · score 5.3 2019 · score 6.2 2020 · score 7.4 2021 · score 7.2 2022 · score 7.0 2023 · score 6.7 2024 · score 6.8 2025 · score 6.7 2026 · score 6.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.0 Regional 6.0 State 7.2 Economic 5.7 Supply 8.0 Rent Control 7.1 Eviction 7.1 Tenant 9.1 Housing 6.9 6.7 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +11.4% (2024)
    6.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.0
  3. State political climate
    Oregon legislature & governorship
    7.2
  4. Economic stress
    14.2% poverty · 2.9% unemp.
    5.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,239 average · 46.4% renters
    8.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    35.3% of income on rent
    7.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    141 days filing → judgment
    7.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    46.4% renters
    9.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Astoria and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Astoria compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Clatsop County
High
#3 of 9 cities
Rank in county, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 cities in Clatsop County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
Elevated
#109 of 425 cities
Rank in state, 75th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Astoria risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Astoria: 6.76.7AstoriaThis cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg in countyState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.7
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 141d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,239/mo. A contested eviction takes 141 days and costs $6,057–$16,843 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 46.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 10,109 residents, 46.4% rent. 35% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 14.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6 and 6 (Dem margin +11.4% (2024)). State climate at 7.2, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 7.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.1, housing court bias 6.9, rent-control risk 7.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.7. Supply constraint: 8. The numbers behind those: 14.2% poverty, 2.9% unemployment, 35% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Astoria sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Portland, OR · 149d · ~$11.8k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.1 Portland Eugene, OR · 127d · ~$13.3k all-in ($104/day) · score 7.9 Eugene Salem, OR · 144d · ~$11.8k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.3 Salem Gresham, OR · 135d · ~$12.6k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.4 Gresham Hillsboro, OR · 133d · ~$11.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.9 Hillsboro Bend, OR · 129d · ~$13.2k all-in ($102/day) · score 6.5 Bend Beaverton, OR · 144d · ~$12.8k all-in ($89/day) · score 7 Beaverton Medford, OR · 129d · ~$12.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.6 Medford Springfield, OR · 139d · ~$12.4k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.9 Springfield Corvallis, OR · 143d · ~$12.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.4 Corvallis Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Astoria
Astoria · 141d · ~$11.5k all-in ($81/day) · score 6.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Astoria, OR

Landlording in Astoria, Oregon, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.7/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Astoria is a city of 10,109 residents where 46.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 35.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,239/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Astoria eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Astoria closes 141 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Astoria's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Astoria runs $6,057 to $16,843 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 141 days of typical timeline and $1,239/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.1/10 in Astoria, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Astoria: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $16,843 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Astoria

Trap · 7.1/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. Astoria's 6.1/10 is near the Oregon state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 7.1/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is "just cause" eviction in Astoria?

Oregon law, including in Astoria, requires a "just cause" to terminate a tenancy after the first year. This means you can't just end a lease because you want to. Valid reasons include tenant non-payment, lease violations, or specific landlord-initiated reasons like moving a family member into the unit, significant renovations, or selling the property to an owner-occupant. Always provide the correct notice period, typically 90 days for landlord-initiated just causes.

Q2

Can I raise rent freely in Astoria?

No. Oregon has statewide rent control. Annual rent increases are capped at 7% plus the consumer price index (CPI). You must provide a 90-day written notice for any rent increase. This is a crucial rule for landlords to understand to avoid illegal increases that can lead to disputes or legal action. For more details, check our Oregon rent control rules.

Q3

What if my tenant claims "source of income" discrimination?

Oregon law protects tenants from discrimination based on their source of income, including housing vouchers, Social Security, or other legal forms of income. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a voucher. You must apply your standard screening criteria equally to all applicants. Denying an applicant based on their source of income is illegal and can lead to significant penalties. Learn more about Oregon tenant protections.

Q4

How long does an eviction take if the tenant doesn't fight it?

Even if a tenant doesn't actively fight an eviction, the process still takes time due to statutory notice periods and court scheduling. After the 10-day pay-or-quit notice, you'll still need to file in court, wait for a hearing date (typically 1-2 weeks), and then wait for the judge's order. If the tenant still doesn't move, you'll need to involve the sheriff for a physical lockout. Even in the smoothest cases, you're looking at 30-45 days, minimum, from the date rent was due.

Q5

Should I offer "cash for keys" in Astoria?

Given the high costs and long timelines of eviction in Astoria (141 days, $6,057, $16,843), "cash for keys" is often a smart, practical option. If a tenant is willing to move out quickly in exchange for a payment, it can save you thousands in legal fees and months of lost rent. Always get a written agreement, clearly stating the terms, the move-out date, and that the tenant waives all claims. Consult with an attorney to draft this agreement.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.7/10 places Astoria in the 75th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.