Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001702 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 3,831 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 41017001702 in the Orchard District area of Bend, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,567
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$77,566
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0721, -121.2808 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard District scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,479 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Orchard District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard District
Against Deschutes County at 45.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,479, 21% below the Bend average.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $77,566.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001702?
Census tract 41017001702 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001702?
Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001702?
9.8% of residents in tract 41017001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,831.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 28th, minority 40th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001702 considered part of Orchard District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001702 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001702 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001702 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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