Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bend
Tract 41017001702 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 3,831 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 41017001702 sits in Orchard District in Bend eviction risk, Oregon eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,479 a month against an average household income of $77,566 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,567
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$77,566
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0721, -121.2808 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard District scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,479 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Orchard District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard District
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Deschutes County average of 5.4 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001702?
Census tract 41017001702 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001702?
Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001702?
9.8% of residents in tract 41017001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,831.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 28th, minority 40th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001702 considered part of Orchard District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001702 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001702 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001702 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
River Rim
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Larkspur
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Mountain View
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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