Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001601 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 4,643 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 41017001601 covers part of the Orchard District area of Bend, OR, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,643 residents. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,220
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$65,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0713, -121.2982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard District scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Orchard District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard District
Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.2/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Deschutes County average of 45.0%. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,659, 12% below the Bend average. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Bend eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $65,313.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001601?
Census tract 41017001601 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001601?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001601?
14.0% of residents in tract 41017001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,643.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 19th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001601 considered part of Orchard District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001601 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001601 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001601 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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