Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
River Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 41039002103 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,362 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
How risky is the River Glen neighborhood of Springfield for landlords? Census tract 41039002103 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,199 a month while the average household earns $60,786 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$60,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0771, -123.0393 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Glen scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How River Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 258Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Glen
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.02x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002103?
Census tract 41039002103 in the River Glen neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002103?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002103?
16.5% of residents in tract 41039002103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,362.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 86th, minority 44th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002103 considered part of River Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002103 fall within River Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039002103 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039002103 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Glenwood
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Glenwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001902
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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