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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

River Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 41039002103 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,362 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 41039002103 covers part of the River Glen area of Springfield, OR, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,362. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 35% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$60,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In River Glen
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 17 tracts In Springfield
High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#305 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 44.0771, -123.0393 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Glen scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5

How River Glen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Glen risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 0021036.3Springfieldparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 258Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Glen

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Lane County average of 46.2%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Lane County average of 6.2.

On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,199, close to the Springfield average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $60,786.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039002103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002103?

Census tract 41039002103 in the River Glen neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039002103?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002103?

16.5% of residents in tract 41039002103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,362.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 86th, minority 44th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 41039002103 considered part of River Glen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002103 fall within River Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039002103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039002103 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 41039002103 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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