Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

South Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047001100 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,415 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is the South Salem neighborhood of Salem for landlords? Census tract 41047001100 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #27,602 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,295 a month while the average household earns $83,955 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 29% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,120
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$83,955

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In South Salem
Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 40 tracts In Salem
Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#393 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9056, -123.0338 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Salem scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,295 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How South Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 001100Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 438Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2004)
  • 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470011002000: 25 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2001: 34 filings (4.04/100 renter HHs)2002: 30 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (3.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 48 filings (5.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 34 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2007: 22 filings (2.49/100 renter HHs)2008: 27 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 8 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2014: 36 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2016: 34 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 36% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Salem

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 438 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.7% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001100?

Census tract 41047001100 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001100?

Median gross rent is $1,295/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001100?

7.6% of residents in tract 41047001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,415.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 25th, minority 28th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001100 considered part of South Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001100 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 438 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001100 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001100 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related