5 census tracts · pop 24,702 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10
· range 7.5–8.8
Centennial spans 5 census tracts of Portland, OR, population 24,702. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.1/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 31.4% citywide, putting Centennial 28.7% over its own city.
30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10.
Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 7.5 to 8.8. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8/10.
Filings are well documented here: 5,101 across 4 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 20.9% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,499, 9% below the Portland average of $1,655.
The most recent observed rate, 8.0% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #15 of 52 neighborhoods in Portland. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,896. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.1
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Centennial vs PortlandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Centennial
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
5,101Total filings (sum)
9.33%Avg annual filing rate
20.9%Peak year (2006)
7.34%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
2,266Total filings 2020-21
6.1Avg monthly observed
5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA).
Frequently asked
About Centennial
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Centennial?
Centennial scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Centennial compare to Portland overall?
Centennial scores 0.4 points higher than Portland overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,499 vs $1,655.
Q3
What is the average rent in Centennial?
Average gross rent in Centennial is $1,499/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Centennial residents are renters?
46% of Centennial households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Portland). The neighborhood has 24,702 residents.
Q5
Is Centennial a high social-vulnerability area?
Centennial sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Centennial have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Centennial is census tract 41051009804 (score 8.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.5 to 8.8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Centennial for landlords?
Centennial carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Portland as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Centennial?
Centennial has 23,378 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
