Neighborhood · Portland, OR

Centennial Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 24,702 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 5.5–6.3

Centennial is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Portland with 5 census tracts and a population of 24,702 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,499/month sits 9% lower than the Portland citywide average ($1,655).

Risk score

Elevated

5 tracts · population-weighted

Centennial vs Portland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

60.1% +91%

Portland: 31.4%

Average gross rent

$1,499 -9%

Portland: $1,655

Average HH income

$63,896 -28%

Portland: $88,792

Poverty rate

17.7% +39%

Portland: 12.8%

Renter share

46.4% -3%

Portland: 48.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Centennial and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 5.5–6.3

Why Centennial scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–9.0 across tracts

8.3

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 7.5–8.5 across tracts

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–8.5 across tracts

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 6.5–9.0 across tracts

7.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–8.5 across tracts

8.0

Economic stress

17.7% below poverty line · Range 2.3–6.1 across tracts

4.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–3.5 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Centennial vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Centennial?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.8 points from 5.5 to 6.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Centennial

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
41051009803	6.3	7,899	74%	$1,689
41051009804	6.3	3,347	48%	$1,635
41051009701	6.1	4,833	54%	$1,227
41051009703	5.7	4,790	57%	$1,455
41051009801	5.5	3,833	53%	$1,389

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 89%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Centennial

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

5,101Total filings (sum)
9.33%Avg annual filing rate
20.9%Peak year (2006)
7.34%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

2,266Total filings 2020-21
6.1Avg monthly observed
5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.14×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA).

Frequently asked

About Centennial

What is the eviction-risk score for Centennial?

Centennial scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Centennial compare to Portland overall?

Centennial scores 2.1 points lower than Portland overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,499 vs $1,655.

What is the average rent in Centennial?

Average gross rent in Centennial is $1,499/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Centennial residents are renters?

46% of Centennial households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Portland). The neighborhood has 24,702 residents.

Is Centennial a high social-vulnerability area?

Centennial sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Centennial have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Centennial is census tract 41051009803 (score 6.3/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 6.3, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is Centennial for landlords?

Centennial carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Portland as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Centennial?

Centennial has 23,378 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Centennial

6.3 Rockwood 2 tracts · pop 10,014 6.6 Powellhurst 8 tracts · pop 36,167 5.3 Wilkes East 2 tracts · pop 11,696 3.8 Southwest 2 tracts · pop 10,826 5.6 North Central 2 tracts · pop 10,576 5.8 Russell 2 tracts · pop 11,441

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Portland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Centennial.

6 Piedmont 1 tracts · pop 4,309 6 Whitwood Court 4 tracts · pop 13,402 6.1 Nob Hill 4 tracts · pop 12,191 6.2 Gateway 6 tracts · pop 25,235 5.8 Argay Terrace 1 tracts · pop 3,471 6.2 Russellville 3 tracts · pop 12,896

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