Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051009803 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 7,899 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 41051009803 covers part of the Centennial area of Gresham, OR, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,899 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,774
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$55,385
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4959, -122.4730 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
7.5
How Centennial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,534Total filings over 16 yrs
- 7.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.0%Peak (2005)
- 71Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 568Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial
74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Set annual rent against average income of $55,385 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.1/10.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,534 filings here across 16 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 15.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009803?
Census tract 41051009803 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009803?
Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009803?
24.4% of residents in tract 41051009803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,899.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 98th, minority 64th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009803 considered part of Centennial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009803 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,534 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.54% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009803 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009803 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009803 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Central
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Gresham
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.5
/ 10 · High
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