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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Centennial Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051009803 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 7,899 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 41051009803, in the Centennial area of Portland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 7,899. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 74% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,689 a month while the average household earns $55,385 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 13% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,774
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$55,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Centennial
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 22 tracts In Portland
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#38 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4959, -122.4730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centennial scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
7.5

How Centennial compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Centennial risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 009803Portland: 8.18.1Portlandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,534Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2005)
  • 71Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410510098032000: 72 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)2001: 70 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 67 filings (5.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 116 filings (9.29/100 renter HHs)2004: 119 filings (9.54/100 renter HHs)2005: 164 filings (14.96/100 renter HHs)2006: 118 filings (10.77/100 renter HHs)2007: 73 filings (6.66/100 renter HHs)2008: 78 filings (7.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 69 filings (6.30/100 renter HHs)2010: 91 filings (6.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 118 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 100 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2014: 124 filings (8.01/100 renter HHs)2015: 84 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 71 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 568Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 10 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-08-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2022-10-01: 16 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2022-12-01: 15 filings (1.88× baseline)2023-01-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 13 filings (1.86× baseline)2023-08-01: 12 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 13 filings (3.25× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2023-11-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 15 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-01-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-05-01: 10 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 19 filings (2.71× baseline)2024-08-01: 16 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2024-10-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2025-01-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 12 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-06-01: 15 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (1.86× baseline)2025-08-01: 16 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 15 filings (1.88× baseline)2026-01-01: 15 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2026-04-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2026-05-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centennial

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,534 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 7.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.0% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051009803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009803?

Census tract 41051009803 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051009803?

Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009803?

24.4% of residents in tract 41051009803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,899.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 98th, minority 64th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 41051009803 considered part of Centennial?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009803 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009803?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,534 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.54% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051009803 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051009803 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051009803 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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