Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051009703 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,790 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 41051009703 covers part of the Centennial area of Portland, OR, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,790. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,749
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$65,291
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5119, -122.4906 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Centennial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 283Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Average gross rent is $1,455, 12% below the Portland average.
Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $65,291. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009703?
Census tract 41051009703 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009703?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009703?
9.2% of residents in tract 41051009703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,790.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 77th, minority 64th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009703 considered part of Centennial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009703 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051009703 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009703 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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