Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051009703 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,790 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 41051009703, home to 4,790 residents in Centennial in Portland, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,455 a month against an average household income of $65,291 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,749
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$65,291
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5119, -122.4906 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Centennial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 283Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.76x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009703?
Census tract 41051009703 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009703?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009703?
9.2% of residents in tract 41051009703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,790.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 77th, minority 64th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009703 considered part of Centennial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009703 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051009703 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009703 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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