Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051009804 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,347 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in Centennial in Portland centers on tract 41051009804, which scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,347 residents. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,635 monthly, set against $77,912 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$77,912
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4990, -122.4905 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,635 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Centennial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 557Total filings over 16 yrs
- 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.9%Peak (2002)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 251Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009804?
Census tract 41051009804 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009804?
Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009804?
20.1% of residents in tract 41051009804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,347.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 80th, minority 62th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009804 considered part of Centennial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009804 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 557 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.82% of renter households, peaking at 20.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009804 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009804 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Related