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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Centennial Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 41051009801 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,833 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

For landlords sizing up Centennial in Portland, census tract 41051009801 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,389 monthly, set against $59,355 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 31% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,417
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$59,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Centennial
Very Low
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 22 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#291 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5137, -122.4642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centennial scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
7.5

How Centennial compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Centennial risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 009801Portland: 8.18.1Portlandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,936Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 12.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.4%Peak (2006)
  • 127Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410510098012000: 105 filings (10.97/100 renter HHs)2001: 94 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2002: 102 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2003: 94 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 135 filings (14.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 138 filings (16.59/100 renter HHs)2006: 153 filings (18.39/100 renter HHs)2007: 135 filings (16.23/100 renter HHs)2008: 148 filings (17.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 82 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2010: 144 filings (13.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 122 filings (11.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 112 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 107 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 138 filings (13.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 127 filings (12.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 696Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (0.70× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 6 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-04-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 16 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-10-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-03-01: 14 filings (3.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-08-01: 12 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 16 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 25 filings (8.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 14 filings (1.27× baseline)2024-01-01: 11 filings (1.57× baseline)2024-02-01: 36 filings (3.60× baseline)2024-03-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2024-04-01: 15 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2024-06-01: 16 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-07-01: 17 filings (1.89× baseline)2024-08-01: 15 filings (2.14× baseline)2024-09-01: 22 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-10-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 18 filings (1.64× baseline)2025-01-01: 17 filings (2.43× baseline)2025-02-01: 15 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-03-01: 13 filings (3.25× baseline)2025-04-01: 23 filings (3.83× baseline)2025-05-01: 16 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-07-01: 24 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 17 filings (2.43× baseline)2025-09-01: 17 filings (1.06× baseline)2025-10-01: 19 filings (6.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 21 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 16 filings (1.45× baseline)2026-01-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 14 filings (1.40× baseline)2026-03-01: 17 filings (4.25× baseline)2026-04-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Centennial. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centennial

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,936 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 12.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.4% of renter households in 2006.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.19x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051009801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009801?

Census tract 41051009801 in the Centennial neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051009801?

Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009801?

15.4% of residents in tract 41051009801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 65th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 41051009801 considered part of Centennial?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009801 fall within Centennial (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,936 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.91% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051009801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051009801 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051009801 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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