Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Moxham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021000500 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,749 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42021000500 covers part of the Moxham area of Johnstown, PA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,749. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units841
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$35,898
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3003, -78.9048 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moxham scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$760 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5
How Moxham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2006)
- 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moxham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moxham
The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Against Cambria County at 37.4%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Against the Cambria County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $760, 18% above the Johnstown average. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Johnstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000500?
Census tract 42021000500 in the Moxham neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021000500?
Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000500?
39.3% of residents in tract 42021000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,749.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 84th, minority 57th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 42021000500 considered part of Moxham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021000500 fall within Moxham (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.13% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021000500 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021000500 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Oakhurst Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Oakhurst Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Roxbury
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Moxham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related