Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021013400 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,439 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42021013400 sits in the Prospect Homes area of Johnstown eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 2,439. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3376, -78.9143 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Homes scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 37%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2006)
- 25Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Homes
26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cambria County average of 37.4%. Against the Cambria County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Average gross rent is $705, 9% above the Johnstown average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 42021013400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021013400?
What is the average rent in tract 42021013400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021013400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021013400?
Is tract 42021013400 considered part of Prospect Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021013400?
How does tract 42021013400 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021013400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.