Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021000100 · Cambria County, PA · pop 978 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
42021000100 is a census tract in the Prospect Homes area of Johnstown, PA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3260, -78.9211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Homes scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2006)
- 10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Homes
The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $382 a month, rents run 41% under what the rest of Johnstown commands.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $13,870, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.
Against the Cambria County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Against Cambria County at 37.4%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 10 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 1.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Johnstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42021000100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000100?
What is the average rent in tract 42021000100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000100?
Is tract 42021000100 considered part of Prospect Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000100?
How does tract 42021000100 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021000100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.