Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021000300 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,611 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
42021000300 is a census tract in the Prospect Homes area of Johnstown, PA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,611. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3115, -78.9110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Homes scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2006)
- 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Homes
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.
Against the Cambria County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Average gross rent is $805, 25% above the Johnstown average. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 32 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42021000300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000300?
What is the average rent in tract 42021000300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000300?
Is tract 42021000300 considered part of Prospect Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000300?
How does tract 42021000300 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021000300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.