Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown
Tract 42021000300 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,611 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 42021000300 runs through the Prospect Homes neighborhood of Johnstown. With 1,611 residents, it scores 6.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $805 a month while the average household earns $40,861 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3115, -78.9110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Homes scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2006)
- 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Homes
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Part of this tract, about 20% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42021000300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000300?
What is the average rent in tract 42021000300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000300?
Is tract 42021000300 considered part of Prospect Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000300?
How does tract 42021000300 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021000300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.