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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Moxham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown

Tract 42021000600 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,710 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

42021000600 is a census tract in the Moxham area of Johnstown, PA. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,710 residents. Average gross rent is $902, 40% above the Johnstown average.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 24% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units699
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$36,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Moxham
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Johnstown
Very Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 42 tracts In Cambria County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnstown and the region

Centroid at 40.2961, -78.9124 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moxham scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$902 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5

How Moxham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moxham risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0006004.4Johnstownparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2006)
  • 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moxham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moxham

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Against the Cambria County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 1 tracked years. Running cool, regional political climate reads 3.1/10.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 5.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Johnstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $36,354.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42021000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000600?

Census tract 42021000600 in the Moxham neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42021000600?

Median gross rent is $902/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000600?

16.8% of residents in tract 42021000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,710.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 80th, minority 39th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 42021000600 considered part of Moxham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021000600 fall within Moxham (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42021000600 compare to Johnstown overall?

Tract 42021000600 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42021000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown

Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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