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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

New Fox Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisburg

Tract 42043020400 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 1,623 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 42043020400, in the New Fox Ridge area of Harrisburg eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,623. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $996 a month while the average household earns $53,852 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 39% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units865
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$53,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In New Fox Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#653 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2681, -76.8907 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Fox Ridge scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How New Fox Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Fox Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 020400Harrisburg: 4.34.3Harrisburgparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 429Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 9.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2005)
  • 76Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430204002000: 73 filings (10.31/100 renter HHs)2001: 59 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 71 filings (10.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 72 filings (10.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 78 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 76 filings (10.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Fox Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Fox Ridge

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043020400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043020400?

Census tract 42043020400 in the New Fox Ridge neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043020400?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043020400?

15.1% of residents in tract 42043020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,623.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 4th, minority 51th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 42043020400 considered part of New Fox Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043020400 fall within New Fox Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043020400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 429 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.98% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043020400 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043020400 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043020400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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