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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

New Fox Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043020400 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 1,623 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

42043020400 is a census tract in the New Fox Ridge area of Harrisburg, PA. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,623 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 39% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units865
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$53,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In New Fox Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Low
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#407 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2681, -76.8907 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Fox Ridge scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How New Fox Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Fox Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0204005.9Harrisburgparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 429Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 9.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2005)
  • 76Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043020400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Fox Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Fox Ridge

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 429 evictions over 6 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 10.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.

Average gross rent is $996, close to the Harrisburg average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043020400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043020400?

Census tract 42043020400 in the New Fox Ridge neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043020400?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043020400?

15.1% of residents in tract 42043020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,623.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 4th, minority 51th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 42043020400 considered part of New Fox Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043020400 fall within New Fox Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043020400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 429 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.98% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043020400 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043020400 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043020400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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