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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Paschall Eviction Risk: Elevated , Darby

Tract 42045402500 · Delaware County, PA · pop 3,603 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 42045402500, in the Paschall area of Darby, looks to a landlord: a 7.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,603. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,186 monthly, set against $37,411 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$37,411

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Paschall
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Darby
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Darby and the region

Centroid at 39.9197, -75.2592 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paschall scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Darby
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,186 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Darby
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Darby
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Darby
9.2

How Paschall compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paschall risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 402500Darby: 4.64.6Darbyparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 436Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 12.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2006)
  • 75Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420454025002000: 73 filings (15.52/100 renter HHs)2001: 59 filings (12.55/100 renter HHs)2002: 52 filings (11.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 58 filings (12.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 52 filings (11.06/100 renter HHs)2005: 67 filings (13.06/100 renter HHs)2006: 75 filings (14.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Paschall. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paschall

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Darby, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 436 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 12.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.6% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045402500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045402500?

Census tract 42045402500 in the Paschall neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045402500?

Median gross rent is $1,186/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045402500?

29.4% of residents in tract 42045402500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,603.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045402500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 89th, minority 95th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 42045402500 considered part of Paschall?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045402500 fall within Paschall (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045402500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 436 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045402500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42045402500 compare to Darby overall?

Tract 42045402500 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Darby at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Darby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Darby

Top eight tracts in Darby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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