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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Paschall Eviction Risk: Elevated , Darby

Tract 42045402600 · Delaware County, PA · pop 4,335 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 42045402600 sits in the Paschall area of Darby, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. Population here is 4,335. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 25% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,297
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$57,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Paschall
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Darby
Very Low
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Darby and the region

Centroid at 39.9242, -75.2655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paschall scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Darby
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,695 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Darby
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Darby
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Darby
9.2

How Paschall compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paschall risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 4026006.4Darbyparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 183Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2005)
  • 30Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42045402600
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Paschall. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paschall

It sits 3.1 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $57,583 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Average gross rent is $1,695, 30% above the Darby average. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 183 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045402600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045402600?

Census tract 42045402600 in the Paschall neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045402600?

Median gross rent is $1,695/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045402600?

23.5% of residents in tract 42045402600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,335.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045402600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 89th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 42045402600 considered part of Paschall?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045402600 fall within Paschall (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045402600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 183 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045402600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.08% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42045402600 compare to Darby overall?

Tract 42045402600 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Darby at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Darby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Darby

Top eight tracts in Darby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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