East Bayfront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Erie
Tract 42049000400 · Erie County, PA · pop 1,984 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the East Bayfront area of Erie for landlords? Census tract 42049000400 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $793 a month against an average household income of $38,750 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1448, -80.0790 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Bayfront scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow East Bayfront compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 26%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 425Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2006)
- 67Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Bayfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in East Bayfront
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 425 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.3% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42049000400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000400?
What is the average rent in tract 42049000400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000400?
Is tract 42049000400 considered part of East Bayfront?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000400?
How does tract 42049000400 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049000400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.