1 census tracts · pop 1,365 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.8–5.8
Downtown Erie is a one-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA and houses 1,365 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $397, 54% below the Erie average of $870.
What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 56%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
This is a renter market: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against a Erie baseline of 32.9%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $14,846 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 357 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 6.0% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 4.1% in 2006 against a 6.0% peak. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Baldwin Park and Little Italy score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Erie vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Downtown Erie
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
357Total filings (sum)
4.68%Avg annual filing rate
6.0%Peak year (2002)
4.07%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Downtown Erie
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Erie?
Downtown Erie scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown Erie compare to Erie overall?
Downtown Erie scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $397 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown Erie?
Average gross rent in Downtown Erie eviction risk is $397/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown Erie residents are renters?
97% of Downtown Erie households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 1,365 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown Erie a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown Erie sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Downtown Erie for landlords?
Downtown Erie eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Erie?
Downtown Erie has 1,529 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
