Kingtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $33,547, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.5 points above the Erie County average of 4.3. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.3/10.

At $1,023 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Erie commands. The filing record is not thin: 443 evictions over 7 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 11.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.