Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Perry Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002300 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,250 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42049002300 covers part of the Perry Park area of Erie, PA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,194
Renter share29.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$35,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1007, -80.0873 · click any tract to drill in
Why Perry Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,015 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Perry Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2004)
- 14Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Perry Park
Set annual rent against average income of $35,692 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,015, 17% above the Erie average. The filing record is not thin: 97 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 3.9% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049002300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002300?
Census tract 42049002300 in the Perry Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049002300?
Median gross rent is $1,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002300?
18.8% of residents in tract 42049002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 79th, minority 19th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 42049002300 considered part of Perry Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002300 fall within Perry Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 97 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049002300 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049002300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049002300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Central Eastside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central City
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Erie Hillside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Kingtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Lakeside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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