Southeast Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002800 · Erie County, PA · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In the Southeast Hills area of Erie, census tract 42049002800 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #33,959 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $994 monthly, set against $61,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1063, -80.0517 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southeast Hills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Southeast Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 35%Grade B
- 31%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 117Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2005)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Southeast Hills
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 42049002800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002800?
What is the average rent in tract 42049002800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002800?
Is tract 42049002800 considered part of Southeast Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002800?
How does tract 42049002800 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049002800 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.