Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Southeast Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002800 · Erie County, PA · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
42049002800 is a census tract in the Southeast Hills area of Erie, PA. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,394
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$61,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1063, -80.0517 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southeast Hills scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$994 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Southeast Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 35%Grade B
- 31%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 117Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2005)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southeast Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 117 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $994, 14% above the Erie average. Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.6% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.
It tracks the Erie County average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002800?
Census tract 42049002800 in the Southeast Hills neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049002800?
Median gross rent is $994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002800?
12.4% of residents in tract 42049002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 12th, minority 24th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 42049002800 considered part of Southeast Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002800 fall within Southeast Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049002800 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049002800 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049002800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Burton
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Downtown Erie
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastlawn Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Eastside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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