Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Central Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,464 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Central Business District is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lancaster with 1 census tract and a population of 2,464 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,096/month sits 12% lower than the Lancaster citywide average ($1,240).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Central Business District vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

39.7% +37%

Lancaster: 28.9%

Average gross rent

$1,096 -12%

Lancaster: $1,240

Average HH income

$49,509 -22%

Lancaster: $63,421

Poverty rate

13.9% -33%

Lancaster: 20.7%

Renter share

84.8% +65%

Lancaster: 51.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Business District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Central Business District scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

85% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

13.9% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Central Business District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Central Business District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42071000100	5.5	2,464	40%	$1,096

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 60%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 87%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Business District

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,105Total filings (sum)
15.26%Avg annual filing rate
15.8%Peak year (2000)
19.10%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Central Business District

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Business District?

Central Business District scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central Business District compare to Lancaster overall?

Central Business District scores 1.4 points higher than Lancaster overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,096 vs $1,240.

What is the average rent in Central Business District?

Average gross rent in Central Business District is $1,096/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central Business District residents are renters?

85% of Central Business District households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 2,464 residents.

Is Central Business District a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Business District sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Central Business District for landlords?

Central Business District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Business District?

Central Business District has 2,365 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.5%), Hispanic / Latino (38.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Business District

5.5 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 4.9 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325 4.3 College Park 2 tracts · pop 8,074 4.6 Prospect Heights 3 tracts · pop 15,588 4.5 Sunnyside 2 tracts · pop 7,022 4 Georgetown Hills 2 tracts · pop 11,979

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Business District.

5.6 Conestoga Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,470 5.6 West End 1 tracts · pop 3,077 5.4 Stadium District 1 tracts · pop 3,017 5.4 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 5.3 Chestnut Hill 1 tracts · pop 3,145 4.8 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325

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