1 census tracts · pop 4,470 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10
· range 6.6–6.6
Conestoga Heights maps to a single census tract in Lancaster, PA and houses 4,470 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Lancaster rate of 28.9%.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The filing record is not thin: 695 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2003, when filings touched 16.6% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 14.9% in 2006 against a 16.6% peak. At $1,143 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Lancaster commands. That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Lancaster.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Cabbage Hill and West End. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $51,198.
58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Conestoga Heights vs LancasterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Conestoga Heights
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
695Total filings (sum)
14.54%Avg annual filing rate
16.6%Peak year (2003)
14.87%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Conestoga Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Conestoga Heights?
Conestoga Heights scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Conestoga Heights compare to Lancaster overall?
Conestoga Heights scores 1.4 points higher than Lancaster overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,143 vs $1,240.
Q3
What is the average rent in Conestoga Heights?
Average gross rent in Conestoga Heights is $1,143/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Conestoga Heights residents are renters?
58% of Conestoga Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 4,470 residents.
Q5
Is Conestoga Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Conestoga Heights sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Conestoga Heights for landlords?
Conestoga Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Conestoga Heights?
Conestoga Heights has 4,432 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (81.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
