Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Conestoga Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,470 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Conestoga Heights is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Lancaster with 1 census tract and a population of 4,470 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,143/month sits 8% lower than the Lancaster citywide average ($1,240).

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Conestoga Heights vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.7% +69%

Lancaster: 28.9%

Average gross rent

$1,143 -8%

Lancaster: $1,240

Average HH income

$51,198 -19%

Lancaster: $63,421

Poverty rate

15.8% -24%

Lancaster: 20.7%

Renter share

58.3% +13%

Lancaster: 51.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Conestoga Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Conestoga Heights scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

58% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

15.8% below poverty line · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts

3.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Conestoga Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Conestoga Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42071014700	5.6	4,470	49%	$1,143

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 99%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 86%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Conestoga Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

695Total filings (sum)
14.54%Avg annual filing rate
16.6%Peak year (2003)
14.87%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Conestoga Heights

What is the eviction-risk score for Conestoga Heights?

Conestoga Heights scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Conestoga Heights compare to Lancaster overall?

Conestoga Heights scores 1.5 points higher than Lancaster overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,143 vs $1,240.

What is the average rent in Conestoga Heights?

Average gross rent in Conestoga Heights is $1,143/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Conestoga Heights residents are renters?

58% of Conestoga Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 4,470 residents.

Is Conestoga Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Conestoga Heights sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Conestoga Heights for landlords?

Conestoga Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Conestoga Heights?

Conestoga Heights has 4,432 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (81.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Conestoga Heights

4.5 Sunnyside 2 tracts · pop 7,022 4.9 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325 4.6 Prospect Heights 3 tracts · pop 15,588 5.5 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 4.3 College Park 2 tracts · pop 8,074 5.6 Crossgates Neighborhood 2 tracts · pop 9,341

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Conestoga Heights.

5.6 West End 1 tracts · pop 3,077 5.5 Central Business District 1 tracts · pop 2,464 5.4 Stadium District 1 tracts · pop 3,017 5.4 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 5.3 Chestnut Hill 1 tracts · pop 3,145 4.8 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325

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