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Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Southside Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,172 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Southside is a one-tract neighborhood of Lancaster, PA and houses 5,172 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 28.9% citywide, putting Southside 14.1% over its own city.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records for this tract carry 1,481 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 28.5% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 27.7% in 2006 against a 28.5% peak. That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Lancaster.

For a like-for-like read, Cabbage Hill and West End score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,281, close to the Lancaster average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $51,989.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Southside vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.0% +49%
Lancaster: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,281 +3%
Lancaster: $1,240
Average HH income
$51,989 -18%
Lancaster: $63,421
Poverty rate
26.6% +29%
Lancaster: 20.7%
Renter share
43.3% -16%
Lancaster: 51.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Southside scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
26.6% below poverty line · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Southside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Southside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6SouthsideNeighborhood5.2Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Southside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42071001400 6.6 5,172 43% $1,281
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southside

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,481Total filings (sum)
  • 26.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.5%Peak year (2004)
  • 27.73%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Southside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Southside?

Southside scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Southside compare to Lancaster overall?

Southside scores 1.4 points higher than Lancaster overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,281 vs $1,240.
Q3

What is the average rent in Southside?

Average gross rent in Southside is $1,281/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Southside residents are renters?

43% of Southside households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 5,172 residents.
Q5

Is Southside a high social-vulnerability area?

Southside sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Southside for landlords?

Southside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Southside?

Southside has 5,053 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southside.

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