Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Conestoga Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster
Tract 42071014700 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 4,470 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 42071014700 sits in Conestoga Heights in Lancaster eviction risk, Pennsylvania eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,143 a month against an average household income of $51,198 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$51,198
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0256, -76.2906 · click any tract to drill in
Why Conestoga Heights scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How Conestoga Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 695Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2003)
- 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Conestoga Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 695 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 14.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.6% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071014700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071014700?
Census tract 42071014700 in the Conestoga Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071014700?
Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071014700?
15.8% of residents in tract 42071014700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,470.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071014700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 42071014700 considered part of Conestoga Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071014700 fall within Conestoga Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071014700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 695 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071014700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.54% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071014700 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071014700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071014700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Business District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related