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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Buchanan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,760 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Buchanan Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 3,760. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Bethlehem baseline of 31.1%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 62 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 2.0% of renter households.

That places it #14 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem. Judgments average 0.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Westwood and Penn Summit. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,322, close to the Bethlehem average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Buchanan Park vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.6% +59%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,322 -4%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$73,797 +11%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
6.6% -58%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
46.7% -7%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buchanan Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Buchanan Park scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Buchanan Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Buchanan Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Buchanan ParkNeighborhood4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Buchanan Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42077009100 5.6 3,760 50% $1,322
Frequently asked

About Buchanan Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Buchanan Park?

Buchanan Park scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Buchanan Park compare to Bethlehem overall?

Buchanan Park scores 0.3 points lower than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,322 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Buchanan Park?

Average gross rent in Buchanan Park is $1,322/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Buchanan Park residents are renters?

47% of Buchanan Park households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 3,760 residents.
Q5

How safe is Buchanan Park for landlords?

Buchanan Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Buchanan Park?

Buchanan Park has 4,084 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.1%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Buchanan Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Buchanan Park.

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